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油價或將創歷史最大季度跌幅

作者: 2020年04月02日 來源:中國石化新聞網 瀏覽量:
字號:T | T
據3月31日Rigzone報道,由于中國經濟復蘇的跡象增強了市場需求反彈的希望,盡管油價仍將創下有史以來最糟糕的一個季度,但石油市場收復了一些損失。

據3月31日Rigzone報道,由于中國經濟復蘇的跡象增強了市場需求反彈的希望,盡管油價仍將創下有史以來最糟糕的一個季度,但石油市場收復了一些損失。

盡管紐約期貨交易所在中國制造業數據強于預期后上漲5.1%,實現四個交易日來首次上漲,但自去年年底以來,由于需求減少和原油供應過剩,油價仍下跌了65%。

高盛集團預計,本周石油消費量將下降2600萬桶,降幅達25%。需求下降已導致從南非到加拿大的煉油廠關閉,導致市場供過于求,而沙特阿拉伯正將大量原油運往埃及,這個產油國正準備向歐洲輸送大量原油。大量的供應過剩正在摧毀石油市場結構。隨著世界石油儲備能力的迅速耗盡,市場可能還會出現更多的疲軟。

倫敦時間8點07分,紐約商品交易所5月交割的西德克薩斯中質原油上漲1.02美元,至每桶21.11美元。周一,該合約下跌6.6%,至20.09美元/桶,為2002年2月以來的最低水平,本月油價下跌了53%。

倫敦洲際交易所5月份交割的布倫特原油期貨價格下跌3美分,至每桶22.73美元。該合約在3月份下跌了55%,本季度下跌了約66%。較為活躍的6月份合約價格上漲32美分,至26.74美元/桶。

全球布倫特基準原油期貨出現了歷史性的供應過剩嚴峻形勢。5月合約價格較11月合約折價逾14美元,這個溢價水平使人們對石油市場的預期比2008年和2009年全球金融危機時期更為悲觀。

市場上的原油現貨價格已經遠遠低于期貨基準價格。加拿大石油觸及3.82美元的歷史低點,而許多其他主要品級的石油交易價格低于10美元,有些甚至低至3美元。

先鋒自然資源公司(Pioneer Natural Resources Co.)和歐芹能源公司(Parsley Energy Inc.)已要求德克薩斯州監管機構考慮減產,并在4月13日前召開緊急會議。德州鐵路委員會(Texas Railroad Commission)委員瑞安?西頓(Ryan Sitton)周一表示,將在下次會議上討論產量限制相關問題。

王佳晶 摘譯自 Rigzone

原文如下:

Oil Set for Worst Ever Quarter

Oil clawed back some losses as signs of a recovery in the Chinese economy bolstered hopes for a rebound in demand though prices are still headed for the worst quarter on record.

While New York futures rose for the first time in four sessions, adding 5.1% after stronger-than-anticipated China manufacturing data, oil is still down 65% since the end of December as demand vanishes and the market drowns in crude.

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. predicting consumption will drop by 26 million barrels, or 25%, this week.

The slump in demand has shut refineries from South Africa to Canada, leading to a glut in the market, while Saudi Arabia is directing huge amounts of crude toward Egypt as the producer prepares to flood Europe with its barrels. The huge oversupply is collapsing the oil market’s structure, and there may be more weakness to come as the world quickly runs out of storage capacity.

West Texas Intermediate for May delivery added $1.02 to $21.11 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange as of 8:07 a.m. London time. The contract slumped 6.6% to $20.09 on Monday, the lowest since February 2002. Prices are also down 53% this month.

Brent for May settlement, which expires Tuesday, fell 3 cents to $22.73 a barrel on London’s ICE Futures Europe exchange. The contract is down 55% in March and about 66% this quarter. The more-active June contract added 32 cents to $26.74.

Futures in the global Brent benchmark are suggesting a historic glut is emerging. The May contract is trading at a discount of more than $14 a barrel to November, a more bearish super-contango than the market saw even in the depths of the 2008-09 global financial crisis.

Crude prices are already far below those of futures benchmarks in the market for physical barrels. Oil from Canada touched a record low of $3.82, while many other key grades are trading below $10, with some as low as $3.

Pioneer Natural Resources Co. and Parsley Energy Inc. have asked Texas regulators to consider a cut to output and to call an emergency meeting no later than April 13. Ryan Sitton, one of three commissioners on the Texas Railroad Commission, said on Monday that the regulating body will discuss curbing production at its next meeting.


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